Reserve Bank holds interest rates!

 

The RBA has decided to keep the cash rate on hold at 4.75% which should see most variable home loan rates remain at around 7.10%.

Interestingly, the following major banks are forecasting the RBA to start lifting rates in the second half of this year:

  • ANZ (+0.75%)
  • CBA (+0.75%)
  • St.George (+0.75%)
  • Westpac (+0.25%)        
  • NAB (+0.50%)

This could see our variable home loan rates increase to levels between 7.35% and 7.85% (assuming the banks do not lift their rates above the RBA guide).

As you can see from our chart below, the only recent interest rate change is an upswing for the average 3 yr fixed interest rate.

The average basic variable and the average five year fixed rates remain relatively unchanged.

As always, if you would like to discuss any of the above information please send me an email and I will give you a call.

Brad Gooda, Commissioner for Declarations

Personal Mortgage Adviser

 SMARTLINE PERSONAL MORTGAGE ADVISERS (Credit Licence No 385325)

T 07 3394 8338 | M 0417 062 643 | F 07 3394 8339 | E bgooda@smartline.com.au

433 Logan Road | Stones Corner | QLD | 4120

RBA surprises everyone and increases rates!

Odds for the Melbourne Cup were tough, but we know that majority of Economists were backing that the Reserve Bank were not going to raise interest rates.  What a dampner on Melbourne Cup celebrations.  

Sam White from Loan Market was very quick to respond with a sentiment that we are all feeling:

 ”Today’s decision underlines why a resource rent tax is necessary.

 It is grossly unfair that the rest of the community is paying higher interest rates because the mining sector is strong.

I was surprised by today’s announcement. Many businesses and consumers are doing it tough. Live transaction data from October is showing activity in both the property and finance markets have cooled significantly, proving that the recent jawboning by the RBA is having its effect.

Penalising Australian families for mining booms whilst leaving the mining industry unaffected is plainly wrong. The two political parties claim to represent Australian families. If that is true, it’s time they started acting and stop procrastinating and causing unnecessary negative impact on the interest rate an Australian pays for their mortgage.”

Sam White Executive Chairman for more interest rate information www.loanmarket.com.au   

In the recent forecasts by BIS Shrapnel they are projecting substantial economic growth coming through by 2012/13 so we should not lose sight of the benefits of investing in property.

Cheers

Shawn

Be Cautious of Real Estate Agents “Buying your Listing”

I  remember several Federal elections ago, a reporter was talking to people on the street, asking who they thought should be the next PM? It was amazing how so many made comments like “I don’t like him, his eyes are too close together” or ‘I don’t like him, he’s short” or ‘he’s boring”. Forget the fact that the short fellow may be an excellent leader and just what the country needs, let’s vote for the Politician who looks great on TV, but has no substance at all. If you vote for a PM who has nice hair over the candidate who has substance, don’t complain when things go south. This is what is meant when it is said ‘the people get the Politicians they deserve’.

And this leads me to my point about buying listings. If you are looking to sell your home, you undoubtedly have done the research on what you home should fetch. When you are interviewing Agents, your sole purpose should NOT be what price they think, it should be what do they offer, how are they different, how would they market your home to get the sale and WHY they think this is the best way – it should all be justifiable.

Firstly, let me make a point. It is very difficult to use LISTED prices only to get a bearing on what a home should sell for in the market. The actual SELL price should be used primarily as this is the real value. Just because someone lists high, it doesn’t mean it will sell for that, so be cautious using such values as yard sticks.

Unfortunately too many people focus solely on the price and IF the Agent can basically guess the number in their head. The trouble is, as an owner you will usually have a higher expectation of your home than the market and secondly you are encouraging the Agent NOT to give an honest opinion, but to ‘buy the listing’.

What do I mean by buying the listing? Let’s assume a property should achieve $500,000 to $520,000 in the current market. Agent A knows this and suggests this range. The Owners of course feels their home is probably at the high end, but if they have done their research, they’ll generally agree. However Agent B also knows this. So this Agent B adds another $50,000 onto the price opinion. Greed takes over the Owner, and they list for $570,000 and the property sits there.

Eventually the Owner brings the price down over time but most of the Buyers have passed it by as being overpriced. Eventually it will sell, and most likely for less than if they listed it correctly the first time. This is because often when buyers dismiss a home, they don’t look at it again, or if they see a house on the market for a long time wonder what’s wrong with it or if it is on the market a long time, see an opportunity to pressure the owner with low offers as they ‘must be desperate’ as they dropped the price so much.

Hence, when interviewing Agents;

*Don’t get caught up on the price. Ask the Agent to justify with FACTS why they feel that price is appropriate.

*Don’t compare your home to others using listed prices only – use actual sales. All Agents should have access to these databases and should offer such at listing presentations.

*Be cautious of anecdotal ‘evidence’ and urban myths. Work off the facts.

*Selecting an Agent isn’t about them guessing the price you want. YOU set the price, the Agent doesn’t. The Agent’s job is to facilitate the sales process through to completion. This is where you should focus your questions. Ask what they do and WHY they do it – look for REAL reasons behind the actions. How does what they do assist you to help sell your home the best possible way?

*As tempting as it is, don’t get greedy. If you think your home is worth $X, and Agent A says $X but Agent B enthusiastically says $X plus $50,000 because ‘everyone else has undervalued your beautiful home’ – be careful. Overpricing your home will cause more pain in the long run. Remember just like with politics, you get the Agent you deserve.

Shawn Kristofer
Real Estate Agent
Tingalpa, Belmont. Manly West, Manly, Wakerley, Gumdale.

Looking towards 2010 in property.

The doomsayers have fled into hiding it seems as many of the leading institutions start releasing their property forecasts for the coming year.

Here are some noted comments from the ANZ Property report:

“The remarkable rise in Australian house prices in 2009 has finally silenced the doomsayers. The national median house price has risen by an impressive 10% over the first 10 months of the year buoyed by low interest rates, the first home owner boost (FHOB) and tightening underlying fundamentals,” economist Alex Joiner said in the recent ANZ Property report.

The report claims the outlook for the residential property market is quite strong. It notes national median house prices rose by 10% in the first 10 months of 2009, and expects a resilient market performance in the next year.

“While we still expect a deceleration of prices in 2010 as the FHOB is removed and interest rates are lifted towards ‘neutral’, recent momentum suggests price gains could be stronger than anticipated.”

“Despite a marked rise in properties for sale, auction clearance rates have remained high in recent weeks and an upgraded economic outlook and improved job security will continue to boost investor and homebuyer confidence,” he said.

Great time to get back into the market.

Cheers

Shawn Kristofer

For more great Property blogs check out

http://www.smartcompany.com.au/property-investor.html

Brisbane Housing Prices to Rise Steadily

Extract from The Courier Mail – by Alex Tilbury


THE bottom is not going to fall out of the property market after Christmas when the tinsel and wrapping paper, along with the beefed-up first-home buyers’ boost, is thrown away.

In fact, Brisbane house prices are set to rise by at least 5 per cent in the next three years, according to a new report from QBE LMI, one of only two mortgage insurance companies in Australia.

The LMI Housing Outlook 2101-2012,  forecasts a steady recovery in Brisbane house prices but not a boom.

QBE LMI chief executive Ian Graham said while interest rates were rising “they are still affordable and there will continue to be plenty of demand from first-home buyers”.

“The report doesn’t see first-home buyers leaving the market, maybe easing back a bit, but any slowdown will be replaced by upgraders and investors.

“Investors have been reluctant to buy while the first-home buyers grant was driving prices but they will come back now”.

“Brisbane prices essentially held their ground in the last 12 months, after solid growth.”

After a 36 per cent fall in dwelling commencements in 2008-09, completions are expected to decline in 2009-10, pushing the dwelling stock deficiency to 33,000 dwellings at June 2010, the report showed.

So given an increased housing shortage and a stabilising economy, the median house price is forecast to pick up mildly by 1 per cent to $425,000 by June 2010.

By June 2012, Brisbane’s median house price is forecast to rise to $480,000 or 15 per cent from June 2009.